2035's µmpc

sat11jul2009—28w192d52%— 21h26m00s—0utc

The most important perspective in my view is that health, medicine, and biology is now an information technology, whereas it used to be hit or miss.. Information technology grows exponentially, in sharp contrast to the linear growth of hit or miss approaches that have characterized medicine up until recently. As such, these technologies will be a million times more powerful in 20 years (by doubling in power and price performance each year). The genome project, incidentally, followed exactly this trajectory.

Our intuition is linear, so [we] think in linear terms and expect that the slow pace of the past will characterize the future. But the reality of progress in information technology is exponential, not linear. My cell phone is a billion times more powerful per dollar than the computer we all shared when I was an undergrad at MIT. And we will do it again in 25 years. What used to take up a building now fits in my pocket, and what now fits in my pocket will fit inside a blood cell in 25 years.

Kurzweil has said similar things many times before, but keep yourself from forgetting it, keep it in mind. This is the future we’re building.

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